Larry Robinson VRP

Avatar Entertainment president Larry Robinson has straddled the entertainment business for 30 years operating in the music, film and television businesses. In the music business Robinson has been known for releasing soundtracks for film and TV projects through record label Avatar Records including HBO’s “OZ”, Showtime’s “The L Word”, CW’s “Girlfriends” and the notorious feature film “Fear of a Black Hat”.

Most recently Robinson developed and is Executive Producing the reality project “Boyle Heights” which spotlights six young Hispanic 20 somethings from East LA.

Through Avatar, Robinson has released many video projects including “G-Thang: I Got Problems”, “Sleeping Dogs Lie” starring Brad Wilk of AudioSlave and director Rusty Cundieff’s “Fear of a Black Hat” through Columbia Tri-Star Home Entertainment.

Robinson is a principal in AvatarMgmt, a boutique management and production company representing film and television talent. Avatar’s offices are in Los Angeles and London.

Twitter (1,426 followers): https://twitter.com/avatar2k
Avatar Records Websitehttp://www.avatar-music.com
Avatar Records Facebook (4,693 likes): https://www.facebook.com/avatarecords/

Break in Case of Emergency VRP

 
BREAK IN CASE OF EMERGENCY by Jessica Winter
 
Plot Synopsis

Jen has reached her early thirties and has all but abandoned a once-promising painting career when, spurred by the 2008 economic crisis, she takes a poorly defined job at a feminist nonprofit. The foundation’s ostensible aim is to empower women, but staffers spend all their time devising acronyms for imaginary programs, ruthlessly undermining one another, and stroking the ego of their boss, the larger-than-life celebrity philanthropist Leora Infinitas.

Jen’s complicity in this passive-aggressive hellscape only intensifies her feelings of inferiority compared to her two best friends—one a wealthy attorney with a picture-perfect family, the other a passionately committed artist—and so does Jen’s apparent inability to have a baby, a source of existential panic that begins to affect her marriage and her already precarious status at the office. As Break in Case of Emergency unfolds, a fateful art exhibition, a surreal boondoggle adventure in Belize, and a devastating personal loss conspire to force Jen to reckon with some hard truths about herself and the people she loves most.

Length: 288p
Publisher: Knopf (UK: Burough Press)
Date: July 12, 2016
Author, Jessica Winter

Jessica Winter is features editor at Slate and the former culture editor of Time. Her writing has appeared in The New York Times, The Guardian, Bookforum, The Believer, and many other publications. She lives in Brooklyn.

Literary Agent: Claudia Ballard (WME)

Twitter (7,082 followers): https://twitter.com/winterjessica
In the Media: 

KIRKUS REVIEW  |  Kirkus Reviews  |  May 4, 2016
Work woes and fertility issues, female friendships and marital challenges are among the factors at play in this satirical novel.

Some of the details of the day-to-day life of Jen, the overly accommodating protagonist of Winter’s debut novel, will sound all too familiar to many young women: the cavalier (not to say cruel) treatment she receives at the company where she works, a vanity charitable foundation that purports to empower women while robbing Jen of her own sense of self; the sweet husband she dearly loves yet wishes was more of an economic provider; the college friends she feels closest to but can’t help envying; the struggle to conceive a child—in Jen’s terms, a “hypothetical tiny future boarder”; and the squelched yearning for some kind of self-actualization, although Jen and her crew would probably dismiss the very concept as sounding too much like something Leora Infinitas, the TV sitcom star–cum-socialite who heads the nonprofit at which Jen works, would hold a board meeting to discuss. When she’s not toiling away at her pointless job—her chief duties are writing memos no one reads; devising acronyms no one likes; and reading the heartfelt, meandering musings of the privileged women Jen and her caustic-yet-caring work pal, Daisy, have dubbed “the Judys”—Jen makes art and is actually a gifted portraitist. Her work evokes the hidden, perhaps happy, perhaps sinister inner lives of her subjects, and over the course of the novel she finally begins to get a handle on her own inner life. While at times the story veers uneasily between the broadly farcical and intimately emotional, it gains momentum as it goes along. At a certain point, Winter’s hold on the plot, her characters, and, as a result, her readers becomes surer as it leads to its satisfying conclusion.

Half rollicking sendup of celebrity philanthropy and half meaningful meditation on marriage, friendship, family, and adulthood, Winter’s curious, captivating novel seems to teeter at times between split purposes but ultimately finds a pleasing balance.

Break in Case of Emergency  |  Publisher’s Weekly  |  July 2016
Jessica Winter. Knopf, $25.95 (288p) ISBN 978-1-101-94613-8

Winter’s debut novel offers an entertaining and smartly satirical glimpse inside a New York City nonprofit startup. Jen, in her mid-30s and a new hire at the Leora Infinitas Foundation (also known as LIFt), attempts to navigate the office culture of meaningless jargon, comically hollow acronyms, and self-congratulatory meetings about vague project proposals. Jen, who is by nature accommodating and eager to please, becomes conflicted as she realizes that the company is more concerned with appearances than empowering women all over the world, as its mission statement claims. Still, unlike her coworker Daisy, who is hilariously blunt in her mockery of the foundation, Jen is determined to please her superiors and succeed in her position, having given up on her dream of becoming a visual artist in favor of a stable income for the next phase of her life. She and her husband have been trying to conceive for long enough that they’ve devised their own code language for doctors’ visits and fertility tests. But as Jen’s job begins to affect every aspect of her life, she’s forced to reexamine her choices, relationships, and aspirations. This is both a biting lampoon of workplace politics and a heartfelt search for meaning in modern life. (July)

This week’s must-read books  |  NYPost  |  July 9, 2016

Fertility and foundation problems come to Flatbush. In Brooklyn author Winter’s satirical debut novel, heroine Jen’s anxiety is spiraling out of control. By day, she labors for a narcissistic boss at a feminist nonprofit in Manhattan. At home in Brooklyn, frustration grows as she and her husband Jim struggle to start a family. Things go from bad to worse on a trip to Belize, when Jen finds herself stranded on a desert island with an Australian video-game tycoon who’s into role play. This biting rendition of life in the Big Apple and beyond belongs in your beach bag.

Australian TV Delivers Gay Swimmer Drama Series ‘Barracuda’

barracuda2

 

“Melbourne 1996. The Golden Age of Australian swimming is beginning and a scholarship to an exclusive boys school brings 16-year-old Danny Kelly one step closer to his ultimate goal – winning Olympic gold.Initially, Danny struggles to find his place in the prestigious social circles of the private boys school. However under the charge of highly regarded coach Frank Torma and a friendship/rivalry with teammate Martin Taylor, Danny is soon on track to become Australia’s youngest swimming champion, the unstoppable Barracuda.Soon, everyone has a stake in Danny’s success and as he swims closer towards gold, he finds himself being drawn into a world where the only thing that matters is winning. When he gets his shot at victory, with all of Australia watching – can the ‘Barracuda’ live up to everyone’s expectations and realise his dream?”

barracuda2

barracuda

Australian TV Delivers Gay Swimmer Drama Series ‘Barracuda’

The Millennial’s Guide to Newt Gingrich

Who is Newt Gingrich, and why do people get so worked up about him? Here’s your primer.

By Julia Ioffe

July 14, 2016
Newt Gingrich trainwreck

 

Sen. Tim Scott reveals incidents of being targeted by Capitol Police
RNC races to stamp out anti-Trump rebellion
Signs point to Pence as Trump prepares to notify VP hopefuls
The Millennial’s Guide to Newt Gingrich
5 Times the Vice Presidential Pick Surprised Everyone

If you’re of a certain age, there’s not much you know about Newt Gingrich, former speaker of the House. You might remember his failed 2012 presidential campaign, in which he briefly led the GOP field, and during which he declared, “By the end of my second term, we will have the first permanent base on the moon and it will be American.” If you’re a little bit older, like me, you might remember that he was the man who shut down the government back sometime around the blizzard of 1996. And today, you likely know him mostly as the gadfly circling the yellow-orange head of the presumptive Republican nominee, constantly telling the media that he, the eternally humble public servant, would not say no if called on to be Donald Trump’s running mate. “If Trump offers the position and is serious about it, which I think he would be after our conversations, listen, I would feel compelled to serve the country,” Gingrich has said. Others say that, behind the scenes, Gingrich is not so phlegmatic: He has been actively lobbying to get Trump’s VP slot. On Tuesday, Trump told the New York Times that Gingrich was on his short list (and that he was “excellent”) and Fox News suspended its contract with Gingrich as a commentator in anticipation of such a nomination. By Wednesday, there was word that he was in a plane with Sean Hannity on his way to meet Trump—whatever that means.

Even if Gingrich doesn’t get the nod, he’s enjoying a rare third political life, and a massive opportunity: He could still well serve in a Trump administration, or, if that doesn’t happen, be the man who helps reassemble the GOP Humpty Dumpty. “When the debacle of the Trump election is over, how do you pick up the pieces of the party and rebuild it?” says one Republican operative. “Newt could do that.”

If you’re encountering Gingrich for the first time this year, it might be easy to imagine that, with his mop of white hair and long track record in D.C., he’s a quintessential Washington graybeard, just the man to lend some policy and legislative expertise to a candidate who has never held public office of any kind. “He’s a one-stop shop of policy knowledge on such a wide array of issues, more than anyone in Washington,” says Republican lobbyist Ed Kutler, who worked with Gingrich in the House in the 1990s. “As much as he was a big thinker, he was a really good legislator. For a guy like Trump, that would be very helpful.” He’d be the link, the thinking goes, between the rodeo that is Trump World and the stuffy Washington establishment.

Donald Trump is making Newt look like a fairly conventional politician,” said a former Hill staffer. “Nobody would’ve said that back in the day.”

But hold up. Seriously? Newt Gingrich? For anyone who lived through his first, scorched-earth tenure in Washington, the idea that he’s reemerging as some kind of reality-based, ambassadorial elder statesman is nothing short of bewildering. Gingrich, former Obama adviser (and Gingrich friend) Van Jones told me, “was a bomb thrower’s bomb thrower.”

“He’s always been on the edges of what was acceptable,” said one former Hill staffer from Newt’s congressional heyday. “Donald Trump is making Newt look like a fairly conventional politician,” the staffer said. “Nobody would’ve said that back in the day.”

Back when the average millennial voter was still playing the original Pokemon—or, you know, being born—Newt Gingrich brought a new, confrontational, shoot-the-hostages approach to Congress, shutting down the government twice in the process. He’s the man who divorced his first wife while she was in the hospital for cancer, and was eventually forced to resign as speaker not only because of an embarrassing Republican wipeout at the polls, but also because Congress began investigating a labyrinth of fraudulent nonprofits that looked like the kind of scandal that would send anyone back into permanently quiet retirement.

But no: He’s back. Again. So who is Newt Gingrich, and why do people get so worked up about him? Here’s your primer, millennials.

Newt’s an Army brat, but not a soldier

He was born Newton Leroy McPherson in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, in 1943, nine months after his 16-year-old mother and 19-year-old father got divorced after being married for just three days. “We were married on a Saturday, and I left him on a Tuesday,” his mother, Kathleen Daugherty, told the Times in 1994. “I got Newtie in those three days.”

When Newt was 3, Kathleen remarried. The man, Robert Gingrich, adopted young Newt and gave him his last name. The new and growing family bounced around the world with Robert, an artillery officer. When Newt was 15 and the family was stationed in Orleans, France, his father took him to see the World War I battlefield of Verdun. The sight of the decaying bones of unidentified soldiers shocked him. “I learned that the freedoms we now enjoy and take for granted were paid for in blood,” he would later write in his book Five Principles for a Successful Life, which bears a certain conceptual resemblance to Donald J. Trump’s Art of the Deal.

Like the author of that book, Gingrich also didn’t serve in the Army, despite his pride in being an Army brat. He took student and parental deferments during the Vietnam War. In 1989, he told Vanity Fair that he regretted the decision. Kinda. “Given everything I believe in, a large part of me thinks I should have gone over,” he said. But, he added, “Part of the question I had to ask myself was what difference I would have made.”

Newt is as ambitious as he is flexible

Gingrich never lacked for a sense of his place in history. As a 15-year-old, he wrote a 180-page term paper on the balance of world power. He told his teacher he would move with his family to Georgia to “form a Republican party and become a congressman.” (A curious thing to say, given there was already a Republican Party.) Later, when he was a first-year history professor at West Georgia College—Gingrich earned a Ph.D. in history from Tulane—he applied to be chair of the department. He didn’t get the post but, undeterred, a year later he lobbied to become president of the entire college. That sense of wanting to be at the center of events never abandoned him. In 1994, he told a reporter: “People like me are what stand between us and Auschwitz.”

Gingrich first ran for Congress in 1974, telling his friends his goal wasn’t just to be elected, but to be speaker of the House. He lost. He lost again in 1976. In 1978 he won, and he arrived in Washington on the newly ascendant conservative fringe of the Republican Party, constantly trying to pull it rightward. This was new in Congress, and new to Gingrich as well: He’d been considered a liberal earlier in the decade. (Why the switch? “He saw that swinging to the right as Reagan did was the way to get to the goal he wanted, which was Speaker,” his former minister told the New York Times in 1994.)

Gingrich was raised Lutheran, but he became a Southern Baptist when he moved to Georgia and began to aim for a congressional seat.

Today, Gingrich is a Roman Catholic.

Newt’s personal life is a hot mess

The first person Gingrich married was his high school geometry teacher. When he went to college at Emory, it was mostly to follow her, a woman named Jackie Battley, who was seven years his senior. He showed up at her door as soon as he graduated high school and persuaded her to date him. They got married in 1962, while he was still in college, and, as he put it, “two days after I was 19.” They had two daughters with whom Gingrich is still close. Jackie worked to support him through grad school and worked tirelessly on his congressional campaigns.
During his 1976 run for Congress, Gingrich speaks at a podium with his wife Jackie and daughters Jackie Sue and Kathy nearby.

During his 1976 run for Congress, Gingrich speaks at a podium with his wife Jackie and daughters Jackie Sue and Kathy nearby. | AP Photo/Calvin Cruce, Atlanta Journal Constitution

When he finally won his congressional seat in Georgia, in 1978, he beat a woman named Virginia Shapard. Her plan, should she win, was to commute between Georgia and Washington and to leave her children at home with a nanny. Gingrich seized on this and ran an ad accusing her of abandoning her family. Under a photo of his own family, he wrote “When elected, Newt will keep his family together.” Two years later, he and Jackie were divorced.

According to a Mother Jones profile of Gingrich a few years later, he was philandering while Jackie was toiling on his campaigns. Once, a campaign aide was walking Gingrich’s two daughters to Gingrich’s car, “only to find the candidate with a woman, her head buried in his lap.” Another woman who claimed Gingrich was coming on to her when her husband was out of town recalled that, “on one occasion, he visited under the guise of comforting her after the death of a relative, and instead tried to seduce her.” In April 1980, he filed for divorce. At the time, Jackie was fighting uterine cancer.

From the Mother Jones profile:

Jackie had undergone surgery for cancer of the uterus during the 1978 campaign, a fact Gingrich was not loath to use in conversations or speeches that year. After the separation in 1980, she had to be operated on again, to remove another tumor. While she was still in the hospital, according to [Gingrich friend and former press secretary Lee] Howell, ‘Newt came up there with his yellow legal pad, and he had a list of things on how the divorce was going to be handled. He wanted her to sign it. She was still recovering from surgery, still sort of out of it, and he comes in with a yellow sheet of paper, handwritten, and wants her to sign it’…

‘Jackie was kind of frumpy,’ explains Howell … ‘She’s lost a lot of weight now, but she was kind of frumpy in Washington, and she was seven years older than he was. And I guess Newt thought, well, it doesn’t look good for an articulate, young, aggressive, attractive congressman to have a frumpy old wife.’

Gingrich’s fellow professor at West Georgia College, Leonard Carter, had a similar story, telling CNN that Gingrich told him, “You know and I know that she’s not young enough or pretty enough to be the wife of a president.”

Gingrich later changed his story, saying that it was Jackie who had filed for divorce. Court documents discovered in 2011 revealed the opposite was true. Jackie, in a rare interview with the Washington Post in 1985, confirmed the story. “He can say that we had been talking about it for 10 years, but the truth is that it came as a complete surprise.”

In April 1980, Newt filed for divorce while his wife, Jackie, was in the hospital fighting uterine cancer.

By then, Gingrich was already seeing a 28-year-old congressional staffer named Marianne Ginther, to whom he introduced his parents that summer while Jackie was in the hospital. In 1981, six months after the divorce with Jackie was finalized, Gingrich married Marianne. Meanwhile, Gingrich skimped and haggled on child support and alimony to the point that Jackie’s church (in Gingrich’s district) took up a collection to pay her electricity bills. At the time, he was spending $400 a month on dry cleaning and other sundries.

The Mother Jones profile, which was published in 1984 and highlighted Gingrich’s hypocrisy in peddling traditional family values while widely, eagerly engaging in adultery, was a hit on Capitol Hill. Democrats feverishly Xeroxed the piece and mailed it around to fellow members. But it didn’t seem to teach Gingrich anything: His romance with a House staffer (while he was still married to Marianne) was heating up just as he was going after President Bill Clinton for his affair with White House intern Monica Lewinsky.

This hurt the Republican Party “with more Christian-motivated voters who were still new to the Republican coalition,” says Michael Franc, who runs the conservative Hoover Institute’s D.C. bureau and, until recently, was policy director for House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy. He was a staffer with the Republican leadership when Gingrich was speaker. “That probably stalled that movement for a little bit from Southern Democrats becoming rock-ribbed, loyal Republican voters. Back in the mid-’90s, the move was still in progress.”

Newt, like Trump, collects ex-wives

Gingrich’s women seem to have a very precise shelf life: He left Jackie after 19 years of marriage. By the end of 19 years with Marianne, Gingrich moved on again. He had spent the past six years cavorting with a young, platinum blonde congressional scheduler named Callista Bisek, and Gingrich asked Marianne for an open marriage. “You want me all to yourself,” he allegedly told his wife of nearly two decades. “Callista doesn’t care what I do.” When Marianne declined, Gingrich filed for divorce. Within months, he was married to Callista.
That marriage is 16 years old, which could be worrying Callista, but Newt and the people who know him insist this time is different. “They’re the cutest couple ever,” says Jones. “Total love bugs.”

Still, Republicans worry that a ticket with Gingrich would look even worse among conservative Christians, who are already skeptical of Trump’s bona fides, or among women, who loathe him. “They have six marriages between the two of them,” says one Republican operative. “If you’re looking to address the woman vote, this doesn’t really help with that.”

Newt has a healthy self-esteem

“He really believed when he was a junior in high school that he was destined to save western civilization,” a school friend told the Post in 1985. During the beginning of his congressional career, Gingrich unself-consciously referred to himself as a “revolutionary.”

“He had a stunning level of arrogance,” says Gene Sperling, who ran the National Economic Council for Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. He also had to deal with Gingrich in various budget negotiations throughout the 1990s. “He would kind of tell Clinton that—he’d have some example of a speaker and president who worked together”—it was, according to one of Gingrich’s former staffers, Republican President Ronald Reagan and Speaker of the House Tip O’Neill, a Democrat—“and imply that if you make me a sort of co-president, I’ll work with you. If not, I’ll take you down.” After he was elected speaker, Gingrich publicly asked Clinton whether the presidency was still relevant.

Newt likes big ideas. Details? Not so much

Gingrich styles himself a big-ideas, think-outside-the-box kind of guy. In 1994, he penned a national platform for Republican congressional candidates and called it a Contract with America. It was an attack on taxes, welfare, moral decadence and the entrenched political establishment. Its promises included a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution; a crime bill financing prison construction and additional law enforcement; an exhortation to “discourage illegitimacy and teen pregnancy” and reform welfare; increased military spending and decreased participation in the U.N.; capital gains tax cuts; and term limits for legislators.

What Newt Gingrich imagined in the 1970s, that’s the world you live in today,” says Van Jones. “You literally can’t tell the history of American politics in the 20th century without mentioning his name.”

It was a bold, conservative agenda, and politically quite popular. Gingrich and his Republican army claimed it as a mandate and continued to try to ram the Contract’s various iterations through the White House with as little compromise as possible. They wanted to open up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for drilling. They wanted a quarter-of-a-trillion dollars in tax cuts. They wanted to get rid of certain government agencies. They wanted to cut funding to the congressional Black Caucus.

Clinton vetoed them all, but those big ideas had helped win the House for the GOP in 1994—the first time the Republicans had a majority in 40 years—and they changed the identity of the Republican Party. “Ideas became the distinguishing trait,” says Franc, who adds: “Paul Ryan is a product of that.”

The constant churning out of ideas was not always a good thing. “Some were good; not all were good ideas,” says a former Gingrich staffer. “He tended to a) generate a lot of ideas, b) to verbalize them.” A lot of the ideas were half-baked, but “when you’re speaker, people are ready to march to the beat of whatever beat he called,” says the staffer. Gingrich would spout an idea, and House members would start rushing to work on and implement it, only to have Gingrich pooh-pooh the idea and move on to something else. “It was internally challenging,” says the staffer. “It did send some people off on doing things that were not that fruitful.”

His ideas didn’t stop there. Gingrich was trained as a historian and obsessed with dinosaurs but always fascinated by this thing called the “future.” In the early 1990s, he wrote the forward for a book by two of his favorite authors, futurists Alvin and Heidi Toffler, who predicted that the world was on the cusp of major, tectonic change on par with the Industrial Revolution. It would become a cybernetically connected, informationally driven world. It sounded loony at the time but, turns out, it wasn’t so crazy. Neither was his push, nearly 15 years ago, for electronic health records. “He talked [in the 1990s] about every child getting a laptop,” says the former Gingrich staffer. “That seemed really farfetched at the time. He’s a guy who’s been ahead of his time on a number of things.”

Even in his post-speakership years, Gingrich has been, says Franc, an “idea generator.” In the George W. Bush years, when Congress passed Medicare Part D, Franc was head of government relations at the Heritage Foundation and recalls that Gingrich “was fairly vocal with moving forward with that. Our complaint at Heritage was that it was more spending.” But the details didn’t concern Gingrich. “He didn’t worry; he wanted structural reform,” says Franc. According to a GQ profile, in August 2002, Gingrich—who was then busy consulting, writing historical fiction and setting up one business after another—sent an Iraq invasion plan to the White House and the Pentagon. The plan went as follows: Overthrow Saddam Hussein, send in the special forces, persuade the Iraqi military to switch sides. Presto, change-o!

Newt’s line in the history book: The man who poisoned Washington

More than anyone else in the modern history of Congress, it’s Gingrich who observers credit for bringing the hyperpartisan, obstructionist approach to Washington that we associate with the capital to this day. “When in doubt, Democrats lie,” he said in 1988. He trafficked in sticky political nicknames: the “loony Left” and “daffy Dukakis.” In 1996, he actually sent out a memo to Republican candidates to help them learn to “speak like Newt.”

It wasn’t just rhetorical: Newt’s rise to the speakership in 1994 came after years of infighting, trying to swing the party hard to the right along with other young radicals like Trent Lott and Dick Armey. “These young members who were in the minority, in the House, were very frustrated by an inability to translate radical ideas into policy,” says Franc, of the Hoover Institute. “They were impatient.”

From the back bench, he and his radical brethren went after the congressional establishment, including fellow Republicans for not being conservative enough. He called Senate Majority leader Bob Dole, a veteran and a storied Republican, “a tax collector for the welfare state.” In 1978, he told Georgia Republicans, “I think that one of the great problems we have in the Republican Party is that we don’t encourage you to be nasty.”

If he had knives out for his own party, he had a grenade ready for the Democrats. While there had been a few government shutdowns during the 1970s and ’80s, they were minor burps, and sometimes, government agencies simply continued to function without funding, knowing it was just a temporary wrinkle. The Gingrich shutdowns, say experts, were nuclear. There were two of them. The first, in November 1995, shut down the federal government for five days. The second was more extreme. In December 1995, 800,000 federal workers were furloughed for three weeks—because President Clinton didn’t accede to all of Gingrich’s demands during budget negotiations, and neither blinked.

Publicly, Gingrich blamed the breakdown of negotiations in November 1995 on Clinton, offering a strange story of Clinton snubbing him and Dole on the plane during a trip to Israel for Yitzhak Rabin’s funeral: The president had the gall to make them use Air Force One’s back stairs.

But it was Gingrich and the Republicans who ended up suffering the political consequences. After the first shutdown, and Gingrich blaming it on Clinton’s aeronautical disrespect, the New York Daily News ran a now legendary cover with Gingrich as a diaper-wearing, tantrum-throwing baby and the headline CRY BABY. Just weeks after the second, longer shutdown, Clinton delivered a State of the Union address in which he pointed to a man sitting next to Hillary Clinton. He was a Social Security worker who survived the Oklahoma City bombing and rescued three people from the wreckage. Then, as Republicans gave the man a standing ovation, Clinton pressed on: The man had to work without pay during the shutdown. “Never, ever, shut the federal government down again,” he said. (Infuriated, Tom DeLay would later rewatch the scene over and over, screaming at the television.) Driven by popular anger over the shutdown, Clinton went on to win reelection in 1996, and Republicans were routed in the 1998 midterms.

If that reminds you of the tactics rowdy Republicans used in the 2013 government shutdown, you wouldn’t be wrong. Ted Cruz, the driving force behind the 2013 crisis, openly invoked Gingrich’s example. An approving Gingrich said shutdowns are “a normal part of the constitutional process.”

Newt trashes the media—and loves the media
Gingrich relished hyperbole and stunt. In the early 1980s, his hyperconservative, 12-member group in the House, called the Conservative Opportunity Society, would spend hours after the end of a normal House day delivering fiery speeches on Democratic sins to an empty chamber. The point was that the C-SPAN cameras were still rolling, beaming their angry oratory into a quarter-of-a-million American households. Infuriated, Speaker Tip O’Neill, a Democrat, made the cameras pan to show the empty seats. It didn’t stop Gingrich, who went on to accuse Democrats of being communist-lovers. O’Neill finally lost his cool, raging at Gingrich on the House floor that it was “the lowest thing I have ever seen in my 32 years in the House.” Gingrich was elated: The speaker berating him made it on the evening news, and a radical backbencher had gone prime time. “I am now a famous person,” Gingrich gloated at the time.

Throughout his career, Gingrich, like Trump, has both trashed the corrupt mainstream media and used it for his tireless self-promotion. After the showdown with O’Neill, Gingrich gave a strategy talk to a conservative group. “The number one fact about the news media,“ he said, “is they love fights.” When he gave “organized, systematic, researched, one-hour lectures. Did CBS rush in and ask if they could tape one of my one-hour lectures? No. But the minute Tip O’Neill attacked me, he and I got 90 seconds at the close of all three network news shows. You have to give them confrontations. When you give them confrontations, you get attention; when you get attention, you can educate.”

Sound familiar?

Like Trump, he has called out the “elite media,” referring to them as “despicable trash,” accusing them of twisting his words “out of context” and barring journalists from his office. At the same time, he gives reporters plenty of access for long, rambling strolls through Newtland.

Newt also has a love-hate relationship with the Clintons
The old liberal legend is that Gingrich had a personal animus toward Bill and Hillary Clinton. He was Captain Ahab, and their political ruin was his white whale. He went after Bill legislatively; he led the push for his impeachment; his mother told Connie Chung that Hillary was “a bitch” (after which Hillary invited her to the White House for tea). Once, Gingrich himself went after Hillary, implying she was corrupt. This was, says the former Gingrich staffer, “singularly unhelpful.” Outraged, Bill used his State of the Union speech to defend her. (“We’re not polling this one, man,” says Sperling, Clinton’s economic adviser at the time. “This is just a man defending his wife.”)

But behind the scenes, things looked a little different. “Gingrich hated and had a crush on Clinton, I can’t quite describe it,” says Sperling. “Gingrich thought he was the smartest guy in the world. He loves shooting the shit. When the two of them would get in there, there was this weird thing where they could start wonking out on some issue. It used to scare the hell out of both sides. Everybody would be like, Mr. President, anything you say in front of him can and will be used against you. And Gingrich’s people were saying the same thing to him. And yet the two of them were capable of going off for 45 minutes on microtechnology issues.”

“Newt is kind of like the socially awkward kid who doesn’t understand that when people are being polite they’re just being transactional,” says the former Gingrich staffer. “The Clintons were just tolerating him, and he was taking it as they were friendlier than they were.”

In 2010, Gingrich told Robert Draper of GQ that he had “total admiration” for Hillary. “You have to respect her. This is a first-class professional. And if Bill is First Spouse, it’ll be one of the great moments. A new TV show! The East Wing!”

Newt’s first act ended in loss and scandal

After a drubbing in the 1998 midterms, House Republicans revolted, and Gingrich relinquished his leadership post (but not without raging, on a call with fellow Republicans, that “we need to purge the poisons from the system” and saying he was unwilling to lead “cannibals”). He left the House almost immediately afterward and hasn’t held public office since.

It wasn’t just the loss that sank him. His entire speakership was riddled with controversy, with the House Ethics Committee fielding 84 ethics complaints against him. Republicans allege that this was all political, ginned up by Democrats to take back control of the chamber. But, in addition to various press investigations that turned up lots of malfeasance (like $15 million in political fundraising not declared to the Federal Election Commission), Gingrich in December 1996 admitted bad behavior and bringing discredit on Congress. A month later, in January 1997, the House voted overwhelmingly (395 to 28) to reprimand and fine him. It was the first time in the House’s history that the speaker was disciplined like this.
Gingrich uses a visual aid to illustrate an argument about Medicare in 1995.

Gingrich uses a visual aid to illustrate an argument about Medicare in 1995. | Getty

At issue was a class Gingrich taught at the business school at Kennesaw State College in Georgia. Called “Renewing American Civilization,” the class offering advertised that the course’s “substance is derived from Mr. Gingrich’s expertise as an historian and his experience as a national leader.” It would offer 10 two-hour lectures on topics like “Personal Strength” and “Applying American History” to things like inner cities. It also said that Gingrich expected some 50,000 students to tune in remotely for the class. But for that, the class needed funding, so Gingrich asked people to contribute money—$50,000 for “sponsors,” $10,000 for “friends”—through The Kennesaw State College Foundation, a tax-deductible nonprofit.

The Ethics Committee tried to investigate complaints by three House Democrats that the course was just a thinly veiled political operation; Gingrich and his lawyers stonewalled. When the subcommittee dedicated to investigating this finally released its report, it turned out that the point of the class was less to hone Personal Strength than to recruit people to the Republican Party and train them in the political arts—which is illegal, given the foundation’s 501(c)3 status as a nonpolitical nonprofit. The class, said the committee’s report, “was a coordinated effort to have the 501(c)(3) organization help in achieving a partisan, political goal.” The subcommittee also scolded Gingrich for “inaccurate statements” that made its investigation more difficult.

For these and many other gymnastic contortions of nonprofits for political goals, the House Ethics Committee fined Gingrich $300,000—a sum Gingrich had to borrow from Dole. Part of the punishment was for misleading the committee—a similar offense for which he would then pursue Clinton.

Don’t worry. Newt is very, very rich.

According to Gingrich’s lawyer, the various businesses Gingrich set up after the fall netted the former speaker $100 million in revenue in the first decade of his post-speakership. From a 2011 Washington Post story:
Among Gingrich’s moneymaking ventures: a health-care think tank financed by six-figure dues from corporations; a consulting business; a communications firm that handled his speeches of up to $60,000 a pop, media appearances and books; a historical documentary production company; a separate operation to administer the royalties for the historical fiction that Gingrich writes with two co-authors; even an in-house literary agency that has counted among its clients a presidential campaign rival, former senator Rick Santorum (R-Pa.).
Gingrich is certainly enjoying himself. He now golfs; he’s also constantly commenting on the day’s events on Fox (until Tuesday’s suspension) and his favorite medium, Facebook live. He’s tweeting. He’s strategizing, generating ideas. And, he’s making movies: This spring, he released a documentary film he produced, called “The First American.” It is a biography, complete with historical reenactments, of the life of George Washington. The trailer is narrated by Newt and Callista, who stand motionless and so close together that one gets the sense they might be conjoined. Newt and Callista hosted the premiere at Mount Vernon, Washington’s home, standing in a receiving line in front a massive stained-glass mural. “Only Gingrich’s unique in-depth knowledge of the political realities of friend and foe could weave such a spellbinding tale of events and personalities,” says Gingrich’s website, GingrichProductions.com. (Watch the trailer. You won’t regret it.)

 

Gingrich, obsessed with George Washington and Napoleon and Caesar, has in a sense achieved his own spot in American history. “You cannot write a history of 20th-century Congress without devoting a few chapters to Newt Gingrich,” says Franc.

“What Newt Gingrich imagined in the 1970s, that’s the world you live in today,” says Van Jones, a Democrat who describes himself as “to the left of Pluto.” “Paul Ryan exists in reality because of the imagination of Newt Gingrich four decades ago. You literally can’t tell the history of American politics in the 20th century without mentioning his name.”

Could that ambition, oddly, explain the appeal of being Trump’s second fiddle? “I’m not entirely sure why he’s drawn to Trump,” says the former Gingrich staffer. “I spent an evening with Newt a couple months ago when he was in his pro-Trump mode. He said, look, Trump gets up in the morning, runs all these successful businesses, so he can do this job, too.” But maybe the thinking is a little different. To be the politically savvy, vicious and ambitious sidekick of a presidential candidate who doesn’t seem to care a jot for policy? To have the VP job with a Republican Congress and a boss who doesn’t mind delegating the actual plans to someone else? Oh, imagine the big-idea, world-historical possibilities.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/07/2016-newt-gingrich-scandals-accomplishments-veepstakes-running-mate-trump-gop-republican-214050

Documentary Filmmakers Find That an Agenda Helps With Financing

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An image from “Indian Point” gives a view of the nuclear power plant of the title. Credit Indian Point Film Productions

Social-issue documentaries are the white knights of cinema — vanquishing dragons, tilting at windmills — but they are not intended as agents of diplomacy. Right is right, wrong is wrong. Take no prisoners. Divide and conquer.

So the director Ivy Meeropol’s “Indian Point,” due in theaters on July 8, is a bit out of step with the competition. The film, which revolves around a portrait of the titular nuclear reactor about 25 miles up the Hudson from New York City, has brought together parties on both sides of the long-running debate over whether the plant should stay or go.

“It was such a nice, friendly atmosphere, because the movie was so evenhanded,” said the longtime anti-Indian Point activist Marilyn Elie, who, with her husband, Roger Witherspoon, a veteran environmental journalist, and Brian Vangor, the senior control-room operator of the plant, are principal characters in the film and have appeared together at festival screenings.

 “But,” Ms. Elie cautioned, “it’s not an advocacy film.”

And by not being one, “Indian Point” sets itself apart not only from the drift of current documentaries but also from much of the money available to make them — money coming from institutions that place considerable importance on a film’s cause and its outreach plan (the organizational networking necessary to reach the audience sympathetic to that cause).

“If these funders weren’t funding activist films, they would be funding some other form of activism — not some other form of filmmaking,” said Marshall Curry, a director. His admittedly thorny films, including “If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front” and “Street Fight,” about African-American Democrats fighting one another for control of Newark, have faced problems with financing and outreach because they “were hard to rally troops around.” Green groups, for instance, fled from “If a Tree Falls,” with its sympathetic portrait of an environmental “terrorist.”

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A scene from the documentary “Detropia.” Credit Loki Films

“The closest we ever came to an agenda film was ‘Detropia,’” said Rachel Grady. She and Heidi Ewing thought their 2012 documentary would be a positive story about Detroit. Then they started filming.

Continue reading the main story

“As one does, if one is doing a good job, we found out the story was different from our thesis,” Ms. Grady said. “Luckily, the money we’d gotten was from the Ford Foundation, which was a no-strings grant maker.”

But other foundations, like the MacArthur Foundation, are no longer providing grants for individual documentary projects, choosing instead to channel money thorough smaller institutions. That change “was very, very painful,” said Julie Goldman, a producer of “Indian Point.” She said foundations have historically been places you could go for significant financial help “and not have to scrap for every $15,000. But they both decided to do the same thing. So it’s really challenging.”

The alternative is going to financiers who often want a post-release plan from a filmmaker, in preproduction, about how the movie will create a conversation, online or off. “The reality is you end up kind of guessing a lot,” Ms. Goldman said. “Look, some things are going to be obvious — who the partners are, what you can do for outreach. When you’re doing a film on Indian Point, it’s a question.”

What’s happened to documentary financing over the last decade, said Debra Zimmerman, the executive director of the specialty distributor Women Make Movies, “is the coalescence of a number of different trends, none of which has been really good for filmmakers who aren’t interested in making social-issue docs.” She cited the closing of the National Endowment for the Arts’ regional grants, the Rockefeller Foundation’s decision to directly stop financing film, “and the fact, unfortunately, that we don’t have any real national support for film as an art form.”

“So it’s left to private foundations that are basically created to get tax deductions so they can work on social issues,” she said. “That’s what the role of a foundation is.”

“It’s good that social-issue films are getting money,” she added, “but it’s bad that nothing else is getting funded.”

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A scene from “If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front.” Credit Tj Watt/Oscilloscope Laboratories

That isn’t quite the case, though many of the social-action entities — Impact Partners (“How to Survive a Plague”), the Bertha Fund (“God Loves Uganda”), Participant Media (“An Inconvenient Truth”), Chicken & Egg (“(T)error”), BritDoc (“3 and ½ Minutes, 10 Bullets”) and its forum Good Pitch (“The Invisible War”) — make no apologies for their agendas. “We’re seeing an explosion of funders moving into the films-for-change space who are working with films for the first time and are coming from more traditional philanthropy and need to be assured that the films will have application beyond the general audience,” Maxyne Franklin of BritDoc said.

Amy Halpin, the director of filmmaker services for the International Documentary Association in Los Angeles, oversees the Pare Lorentz Fund, which gives production money to films focusing on equal justice, environmentalism and other social issues. She said she has not found that “the tail wags the dog” — that filmmakers were tailoring their films to meets financing expectations.

On the other hand, “it’s a question within the field right now about how much we’re asking filmmakers to do other than being filmmakers,” Ms. Halpin said. “We’re asking them to drive these activist campaigns that can have career implications, because when you’re speaking at churches and schools and libraries for two years after you’ve made the movie, you’re not making your next movie. And you only get to be a filmmaker once every four or five years.”

But it’s hard for a financier foundation or broadcaster to not to hear the siren song of social action. “I wouldn’t say it’s a requirement,” said Courtney Sexton, vice president of CNN Films, “but we have an internal outreach and partnership person who works closely with the filmmakers we commission to help coordinate efforts that CNN can participate in.” CNN-financed documentaries have included “The Hunting Ground,” about sexual assault on college campuses.

Significant support for the filmmaker-sans-agenda has come from the Sundance Institute, where Tabitha Jackson, who runs the documentary fund, is widely recognized as sympathetic to the cause of the art documentary. A new Sundance initiative called the Art of Nonfiction is intended to support individual filmmakers, not strictly social-impact movies.

“It felt like we were at danger point maybe a couple of years ago,” Ms. Jackson said. “There was a risk that an inappropriate form of measurement would tend to reduce the funding that filmmakers got unless they jumped through hoops, or pretended to be able to do things they couldn’t. I think the conversation is different now. It’s about sustainability and diversity.”

For Ms. Meeropol, it’s also about objectivity, and how it goes unrewarded.

At a recent Q. and A., she said: “I had not a single filmmaking question from the audience. So despite my best efforts, the film becomes an advocacy piece. And I am a reluctant poster child for the anti-nuke movement.”

Correction: July 8, 2016
An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated the Ford Foundation’s policy regarding grant money for documentary films. Ford, through its JustFilms unit, continues to provide money to individual filmmakers; it is not the case that the organization has stopped giving grant money to documentarians.

 

Hillary Clinton isn’t doomed

Updated by on July 12, 2016, 8:30 a.m. ET

His thesis is that right now “fist-shakers around the world are enjoying a moment of supremacy over the pragmatists,” and that the tendency of populist outsider types to win will only grow stronger over time. Donald Drumpf is too much of a bungler to win an election, so “Hillary Clinton is going to win the battle,” Salmon says, “but her side is losing the war.”

 It’s entirely possible that he’s right, and we’ll look back from January 2021 and see the brief, unhappy administration of America’s first woman president. The populist, anti-establishment sentiments that fueled both Donald Drumpf and Bernie Sanders could grow stronger. The right-wing version of these sentiments might find a less unhinged, less corrupt, less dishonest spokesman, while the left-wing version might find a more reckless leader who’s happier to burn the Democratic Party to the ground.

But there’s nothing inevitable about it. Clinton’s victory in November is likely, yet far from inevitable. And if she wins, she’s anything but doomed. Predictions are hard, as Yogi Berra said, particularly about the future. But few forces in life are more powerful than mean reversion — the tendency of long-run averages to reassert themselves despite the perturbations of the present.

And mean reversion suggests that if she wins, Clinton is likely to have a very banal presidency — a honeymoon, a backlash, some achievements, many frustrations, a reelection, and a legacy that will be debated for decades.

Most presidents are reelected

If Clinton wins in 2016, she might, of course, lose in 2020. But if you have the chance to make an even odds bet on it, you should count on her to win for the simple reason that incumbents usually win.

Three out of the past three US presidents were reelected, as were four out of the past five. In fact, since the end of World War II, we have seen seven instances of a president successfully running for reelection and only three (Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush) running and losing.

 This sounds counterintuitive to many people, but in reality it’s just a special case of the general fact that incumbent politicians generally win reelection more often than they lose. The retirement of an incumbent member of the House or Senate is, famously, a key moment of opportunity for the opposition party to win the seat.

Similarly, transition elections in which a popular incumbent is term-limited out are delicate times for incumbent parties. Dwight Eisenhower and Bill Clinton likely could have won reelection in 1960 and 2000, but they weren’t eligible. By the same token, Barack Obama would almost certainly have an easier time beating Drumpf than Clinton will.

But right now is the GOP’s big moment of opportunity, not four years from now.

Clinton has lots of ideas

One problem Clinton is spared due to the quirks of the American political system is agenda exhaustion. In parliamentary systems, sometimes a governing coalition runs into the problem that it’s too easy to implement its policy agenda.

Justin Trudeau up in Canada, for example, is very rapidly implementing all of the Liberal Party’s most popular and workable ideas. That’s the sensible thing to do. But it means that five years from now, the cupboard is going to be a little bare. He’ll be left with ideas that divide his own party, ideas that are unpopular with the broad Canadian electorate, or ideas that people think they want but the government can’t come up with a feasible way to actually implement.

By contrast, thanks to the separation of powers and Republican hostility to the Obama administration, Clinton’s cupboard is full of popular, moderately liberal ideas:

  • Spend more money on infrastructure.
  • Ban employment discrimination against LGBTQ Americans.
  • Implement universal background checks before people buy guns.
  • Raise the federal minimum wage.
  • Provide tax credits to defray the cost of child care.

But if Republicans are in a chastened mood post-Drumpf and don’t want to fight, she also has a bunch of bipartisan “sensible center” ideas available to her:

  • Create a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP).
  • Do a business tax reform that creates a one-time revenue windfall through foreign earnings repatriation.
  • Reduce the budget deficit by changing the inflation index used to calculate tax brackets and Social Security benefit increases.
  • Boost the earned income tax credit for childless men, as both Barack Obama and Paul Ryan have proposed.

The circumstances do not seem very favorable for Clinton to enact enormous,historically consequential policy changes the way Obama has. That’s a dark side of mean reversion. But the upside is that historically significant policy change tends to be controversial and often unpopular. The circumstances of 2009-’10 pushed Obama to attempt ambitious legislation that courted overreach and blowback. Clinton, with more modest horizons, stands a good chance of having a moderately successful, moderately popular term.

There’s a backlash to the populist backlash

One of Salmon’s key premises is that the world is in the throes of a backlash — personified by Donald Drumpf, Bernie Sanders, Jeremy Corbyn, and Brexit — against the Davos-ified global elite that Clinton personifies.

This is true. But it’s equally true that Clinton is as much the beneficiary of this dynamic as its victim. Drumpf is exceptionally unpopular, and a more conventional establishmentarian nominee would stand a much better chance of beating Clinton. By the same token, as annoyed as Clinton’s team has been by Bernie Sanders, she beat him soundly and by doing so solidified her credentials as a broadly acceptable alternative to the diverse range of people alarmed by Drumpf.

Mean reversion applies to populism, too, and oftentimes one consequence of populist wins is for the pendulum to swing back in the other direction. Days after the Brexit vote, establishmentarian parties did surprisingly well in Spain’s general election.

Angela Merkel, whose poll numbers sank over her welcoming of Middle Eastern refugees into Germany, has seen her popularity soar in the wake of the Brexit vote, and pro–European Union sentiment is surging generally across the continent. Watching populists struggle to actually govern is a nice reminder of what’s appealing about boring, often aggravating establishment elites. And, indeed, in the UK itself it appears that the next prime minister will likely be the establishmentarian Theresa May rather than any of the Brexit leaders.

Events are unpredictable

To be clear, it’s entirely possible that Clinton will have a disastrous term in office and end up defeated or disgraced. A poorly timed recession would do her in, and her administration could be crippled by some unforeseen scandal or event abroad.

But by the same token, it’s equally possible that good news will give her a boost. Nobody in 1992 predicted the relatively brief but very real acceleration in American productivity growth that coincided with most of Bill Clinton’s term in office, just as nobody predicted the deceleration that we’ve seen during Obama’s presidency.

Events are the main driver of politics, and they are hard to predict, which makes politics itself unpredictable. Clinton might fail, but she’s certainly not doomed — if she wins in November, she’ll probably win again, pass some laws, and make a little history along the way.

http://www.vox.com/2016/7/12/12132428/hillary-clinton-not-doomed

The Hillary Confidant You Can’t Escape

Some people consider Sidney Blumenthal a canny adviser. To others, he appears a meddlesome opportunist. Now he has published a big book on Lincoln. But as his countless e-mails suggest, he is as connected to Clintonworld as he was 20 years ago.

by

James Warren, Chief Media Writer, Poynter.org

July 5, 2016 5:00 am

I.

In his new book, A Self-Made Man, a sharply executed and well received first installment of a four-volume biography of Abraham Lincoln, the journalist-provocateur Sidney Blumenthal introduces us to William Herndon, Lincoln’s “worshipful, dreamy, and often strangely effective” young law partner in Springfield, Illinois. He was “garrulous and sociable” and “served as Lincoln’s precinct captain, press secretary, editorial co-writer, and all-purpose aide,” as well as acting as Lincoln’s “pulse on public opinion.” Herndon was nothing less than Lincoln’s “tuning fork.” Reading the book in the middle of the current presidential campaign, longtime Blumenthal-watchers will be struck by an analogy that is never stated but leaps off the page: that Blumenthal may be a latter-day Herndon, with Hillary Clinton cast in the role of Lincoln.

In the past year, Blumenthal has been much in the public eye because hundreds of his private e-mails to Clinton—by turns gossipy, fawning, and conspiratorial—turn out to be among the material on the private server Clinton used when she was secretary of state, material now dumped into the open for all to see. He was in the news again in late June, when House Democrats released their own version of a report on the 2012 attacks in Benghazi, and included what were supposed to be redacted transcripts of Blumenthal’s testimony before the Benghazi committee. As the Los Angeles Times showed, the redactions turned out to be unredactable by means of a relatively simple technological intervention that removed the black overlays.

Judging from his e-mails, Blumenthal has been a sort of 24-7 mini-mart of ideas for Clinton. He has been a two-legged LexisNexis who plies her with articles she must read. He also provided her with background information from private sources on the turmoil in Libya—intelligence of dubious reliability and provenance, and possibly tainted by the commercial ambitions of American businessmen. In his more wide-ranging moments, Blumenthal forwarded a memo from David Brock, a former conservative polemicist who had done an about-face and now runs several pro-Clinton groups, which argued that there might be grounds to impeach Supreme Court justice Clarence Thomas; derided former House Speaker John Boehner as “louche, alcoholic, lazy, and without any commitment to any principle,”; and labeled The New Republic a shill for “the highest level Likud/neocon propaganda.” When Clinton stumbled early in the presidential campaign—first in the Iowa caucuses (barely eking out a victory over Senator Bernie Sanders), then in the New Hampshire primary (losing to Sanders badly)—Blumenthal told her privately that she was being ill-served by her campaign advisers. Understandably, the message was not appreciated by some of those advisers (“He’s a terrorist,” one of them told me). None of those advisers were willing to speak about the matter for attribution. Blumenthal himself, whom I had known since his early Washington days, was also unwilling to speak on the record (though we spoke cordially when I caught up with him at a book fair). He answered some factual questions by e-mail and sent some links to articles and reviews, but did not wish to engage in an interview about his recent activities.

Blumenthal has known the Clintons since their Arkansas days. He has long served them as an all-purpose adviser and defender, on and off the books. During the Clinton presidency, when he worked in the White House, he was accused of spreading lies to protect his boss (which he denies). He certainly played the role of “whisperer”—a conduit between the White House and elements of the press disposed to receive and perhaps to amplify the information he provided as the administration counterattacked against its foes. Blumenthal does not look like a man who would have been given the sobriquet “Sid Vicious.” He dresses sharply in starched collars and in suits that display a British flair. At age 67, he maintains his preternaturally dark hair in a boyish flop. An unreconstructed liberal of Third Way bent, he is cerebral and combative – traits at the heart of a distinct image that has only grown more prominent in recent years with profiles in The New York Times, Vox, and elsewhere. At times heedless of seeming conflict of interest, he for years played both sides of the street as a journalist and a committed partisan. He can write with insightful audacity: he was prescient in anticipating the rise of a media-fueled right-wing hydra, with its many factions, donors, and outposts—all of them an unrelenting bête noire for the Clintons and for politicians on the left more generally. The rise of Rush Limbaugh and, more recently, of politicians such as Ted Cruz and even Donald Trump, would have come as no surprise to Blumenthal. He is a true believer in the “vast right-wing conspiracy” that Hillary Clinton once spoke of. The juggling act that he has tried to pull off is complicated: on the one hand, an ink-stained philosopher, like Seneca, bringing wisdom to the halls of power; on the other, a practitioner of the down-and-dirty politics he observed growing up in Chicago during the autocratic Democratic heyday of Mayor Richard J. Daley.

Hillary Clinton wanted Blumenthal to join her at the State Department as a top aide after she was appointed secretary, in 2009. President Obama would not allow it: key White House staffers had grown to detest the man. Two of them—Press Secretary Robert Gibbs and Senior Adviser David Axelrod—threatened to quit if Blumenthal was hired. They believed that he had been involved in spreading unsubstantiated allegations against the Obamas during the 2008 Democratic primary, as detailed in the campaign chronicle Game Change, by John Heilemann and Mark Halperin. Blumenthal was “obsessed,” they wrote, about the possible existence of a so-called “whitey tape,” supposedly made at a Chicago church, in which Michelle Obama could be heard ranting against “whitey”—a tape that could have changed Clinton’s political fortunes during her primary fight, but that did not in fact exist. (“They’ve got a tape, they’ve got a tape,” Clinton told aides.) According to the Huffington Post, Blumenthal also raised questions about Barack Obama’s relationship with former Weather Underground militant William Ayres, and with controversial Chicago developer Tony Rezko. One Blumenthal e-mail to opinion-makers derided Obama’s “fabled ‘judgement’ ” and wondered how he would “conduct himself in those promised summits without preconditions” with people such as then Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il. “Let’s look at how he did with Tony Rezko,” Blumenthal wrote.

Rahm Emanuel, a longtime Clinton friend and at the time Obama’s chief of staff (he is now Chicago’s mayor), gave the bad news to Hillary about Blumenthal and the State Department job. Few in Clinton’s current campaign are surprised that Blumenthal went behind their backs to bad-mouth its early operations. “He’s really, really smart, but he also feeds their own conspiratorial and negative impulses,” says a serving aide to Hillary Clinton. “And with her, he always feeds a reflexive distrust of many people, especially the press.”

“Grassy knoll,” Emanuel responded instantly when I ran into him recently and asked him about Blumenthal. That was the Clinton insiders’ old nickname for him—alluding to the assassination in Dallas of President John F. Kennedy and the contention, never proved, that a second gunman was involved, shooting at Kennedy not from a building, as Lee Harvey Oswald had done, but from a grassy knoll near the roadway. Blumenthal himself was once sympathetic to alternative explanations of the Kennedy assassination. During his years as a pugilistic White House aide, he sometimes struck even loyal Clintonites as too inclined toward the far-fetched. Be that as it may, few people appear to have had the ear of the woman who may be the next president quite the way Blumenthal has. Think of it perhaps as a “special relationship,” with the proviso that, as with the one between the U.S. and Britain, no one is quite sure what the phrase means.

II.

Sidney Blumenthal lives today in a four-bedroom house on a leafy block in the Glover Park neighborhood of Washington, D.C. His wife, Jacqueline, the former director of the White House Fellows program during the Clinton years, is a member of an advisory neighborhood commission and a direct-mail fund-raising consultant. They have two sons: Max, 38, a writer for AlterNet, a progressive online news outlet, and Paul, 34, a reporter for the Huffington Post.

Talk to some of those who know Blumenthal well and you encounter both a certain regard for his knowledge and political acumen as well as skepticism or distrust of his hyperkinetic and at times pandering ways. (“You looked good on TV today from Pakistan,” he once e-mailed Clinton) and his seeming ability to plant a seed of a negative story here, a glancing innuendo there. It is probably symptomatic of the singular niche he occupies that very few of the many people I spoke with for this story—colleagues in journalism and politics—wanted to be cited on the record: not those who regard themselves as enemies (hardly surprising) but also not those who regard themselves as friends.

No amount of distancing from Blumenthal by others seems to have altered his basic relationship with the Clintons. He has been a paid consultant to the Clinton Foundation and remains one for advocacy groups that advance the Clintons’ interests. The closeness is woven throughout the e-mails. He ends one e-mail with Hillary, “Back to writing legacy memo for Bill.” Many are formatted as if they were actual intelligence cables, and labeled by Blumenthal himself as “CONFIDENTIAL.” His e-mails offer a global tour d’horizon of events in Saudi Arabia, Kyrgyzstan, China, Mexico, Italy, China, Greece, Libya, and Great Britain (where he knows both “Tony” and “Gordon,” the former prime ministers). There’s a portentous, melodramatic air to many of the messages: “The political crisis in Northern Ireland is fast moving and fluid . . . ” or, again, “As usual, the real story is not what’s public . . . ” They also seem to contradict Clinton’s public claim that she was simply accepting unsolicited counsel and sometimes passing it along to others. Blumenthal sends her a memo while on a train between Rome and Florence. Clinton replies, “Can you talk? What # should I call?” The communications between the two are engaging, informative, revealing, and in his case, at times a little smarmy.

“Greetings from Kabul! And thanks for keeping this stuff coming!” Clinton writes in 2012. Her notes from 2009 include best wishes to Blumenthal’s wife (“Congrats to Jackie!!”) upon winning the neighborhood commission election and expressions of hope that the couple’s son Max is “still rising on the best-seller list.” (Clinton was referring to Max Blumenthal’s book Republican Gomorrah: Inside the Movement That Shattered the Party.) Clinton and Blumenthal dine together. He arranges social gatherings for and around her. The beginning of his e-mail address, “sbwhoeop” melds his initials with what appears to be his old White House Executive Office of the President address.

So it is hardly surprising that while finishing his book about Lincoln’s early political years, he would also be immersed in the minutia of the Clinton campaign and hauled before the House Select Committee on Benghazi, the Republican-run investigation into the 2012 tragedy at the U.S.-diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, where the ambassador and several other Americans were killed during a terrorist attack. In the course of nine hours of private questioning, Blumenthal was made to testify about advice he had given to Clinton while she was secretary of state. It was a Super Bowl of conspiracists as the committee’s chairman, South Carolina congressman Trey Gowdy, sought to find the most nefarious explanation for Libya-related e-mails between a self-styled geopolitical analyst and America’s chief diplomat. Blumenthal had been a cheerleader for Clinton’s hard line against the Libyan dictator, Muammar Qaddafi—she successfully urged military intervention by an international coalition to support the rebels arrayed against him. When Qaddafi was overthrown, in 2011, Blumenthal saw a political windfall for Clinton and wrote, “First, brava! You must go on camera. You must establish yourself in the historical record at this moment. . . . You are vindicated.”

By the time the Benghazi panel questioned Blumenthal in June 2015, Libya was a catastrophe. The committee pored over his correspondence. Was there any connection between his recommendations regarding U.S. policy in Libya and commercial activities in the country that he may have known about or was advising on? He was certainly in communication with people involved in two companies, Osprey Global Solutions and Constellations Group, that were looking to do business in Libya. He himself was not conducting that business, nor did he profit in any way. What the committee mainly encountered in the e-mails were exhausting mini-essays from Blumenthal to Clinton about political intrigue among various Libyan factions. There were also murkily sourced predictions about what the future held, such as who was primed to do well in upcoming parliamentary elections. Clinton tended not to respond but forwarded some of the observations to Jake Sullivan, a deputy chief of staff, who sometimes passed along the memos after removing their provenance. In one instance, she told Sullivan that Blumenthal’s description of a purported British-French intelligence plan involving tribal leaders in eastern Libya “strains credulity.” But his take on the actual Benghazi attack—citing “sensitive sources” and contradicting administration claims at the time, Blumenthal said it was precipitated by a Libyan terrorist organization with ties to al-Qaeda and had been planned for a month—prompted Clinton to tell Sullivan, “We should get this around A.S.A.P.”

The Benghazi committee did not find evidence of any conflict of interest on Blumenthal’s part. It did determine that Blumenthal had no independent knowledge of the events in Benghazi, as he himself admitted. The reports that he was passing along had been produced largely by Tyler Drumheller, a jowly former C.I.A. officer who since his retirement in 2005 had run a private intelligence consulting business. The Benghazi hearings were a partisan circus, and on the Benghazi episode itself, Hillary Clinton by all accounts emerged more or less untouched after nearly 11 grueling hours of public testimony. But the e-mails themselves were troubling at a level that had nothing to do with Benghazi. Asked about any conclusions he drew from the hearings, Trey Gowdy replied, “Secretary Clinton trusted Blumenthal even though the Obama White House did not. She thought enough of the ‘intelligence reports’ he sent her to forward them to others in the administration, but only after removing any reference to him.”

III.

Sidney Stone Blumenthal grew up in a single-family home in a middle- and working-class neighborhood on Chicago’s Northwest Side. At the time the neighborhood was predominantly Jewish, Irish, and Italian; it is now predominantly African-American, Hispanic, and Asian. Chicago was a Democratic autocracy overseen by the iron-fisted Richard J. Daley, and Blumenthal got the political bug early. Danny Spunt, a former boxing cornerman and Democratic precinct captain, took him to a Chicago Stadium rally for John F. Kennedy just days before the 1960 presidential election. Blumenthal was electrified. As he recalled in his semi-autobiographical book The Clinton Wars (2003), a defense of his political patrons, it was his “first vision that there was such a thing as national politics . . . a glimmer of the idea of meritocracy.” He had not yet turned 12. Spunt gave him five dollars to knock on doors after school on Election Day to get out the vote. Kennedy defeated Vice President Richard Nixon by a hair, and Blumenthal “knew I had made my contribution.” (Mayor Daley’s vote fixing in Chicago may also have helped.) He was intellectually precocious and quickly displayed a historical bent that has served him in good stead. He has said that as a teenager he read the entire 11-volume set of Upton Sinclair’s largely forgotten political novels featuring Lanny Budd, a socialite and sophisticate whose adventures include becoming a presidential secret agent for F.D.R. and undertaking dangerous missions in Germany and Russia.

In The Clinton Wars, Blumenthal says that he had never been east of Columbus, Ohio, when he graduated from a predominantly white public school and headed off to Brandeis, the country’s only Jewish-sponsored secular university. He was a liberal political activist who made it back to Chicago for the strife-torn 1968 Democratic convention. At his graduation, in 1969, he joined others in his class and displayed a stenciled red fist on his gown to protest the Vietnam War.

Now 20 years old and uncertain about his path, he worked for a time as a guard at the Boston Public Library, then found a job as a reporter at Boston After Dark, a somewhat austere and threadbare enterprise that was part of an incipient and vibrant alternative press. It was the perfect place for him. “Journalism as we understood it was a continuation of the experiment begun in college by other means, and it was politically engaged,” he recalled. Boston was a prime destination for baby-boomers like Blumenthal, and its alternative press scoffed at what it deemed the musty rules of mainstream journalism—the objectivity, the neutrality. Blumenthal became a hard-working star at Boston After Dark and its successor, the Boston Phoenix, and then joined another alternative weekly, The Real Paper.

In his writing, Blumenthal didn’t just voice opinions. He went out and did actual shoe-leather reporting on politics, unions, and the broader culture. He blended reporting with a contrarian understanding of a conservative movement that was quietly putting itself back together despite the Democratic Party’s post-Watergate dominance. Along the way, one friend, Derek Shearer, mentioned a former Oxford roommate who had political ambitions in Arkansas. This was the first blip of “Bill Clinton” on Blumenthal’s radar screen.

Blumenthal was fascinated by the rise of a new culture of influential political consultants. Some journalists gagged at the role of this emerging class, but Blumenthal saw its way of doing business as part of a new reality—one that held a certain appeal. He also saw no conflict between having a career as a journalist and providing advice to politicians—initially Massachusetts governor Michael Dukakis, after Dukakis’s 1978 re-election bid was thwarted by a conservative Democratic interloper, Ed King. When The Real Paper shut down, in 1981, Blumenthal served as an adviser to Dukakis as the governor plotted his comeback. At about this time, Blumenthal also became involved with a group of young political activists, including Ralph Whitehead, a professor at the University of Massachusetts, who had worked in and around the new consulting firms and had produced an 85-page white paper called The Permanent Campaign. They argued that conservatives were on the march—creating alternative institutions that were well funded and collaborative. The phrase “permanent campaign” has come to refer to the way campaigning never stops, even when a party has come to power, but the more fundamental point of the white paper—that progressives needed to be mindful of how conservatives were operating, often unnoticed and out of sight—was equally prescient. Blumenthal had long been thinking along exactly the same lines. “The reign of Fox News and Rush Limbaugh and the rest was totally implicit in a model of conservative America he developed in the late 70s,” says Whitehead. Two early books by Blumenthal had their genesis in this period and have held up well: The Permanent Campaign: Inside the World of Elite Political Operatives (1980) and The Rise of the Counter-Establishment: From Conservative Ideology to Political Power (1986).

Blumenthal got his big break in 1983 when Martin Peretz, the owner of The New Republic, asked him to cover the 1984 presidential campaign. He became the magazine’s national political correspondent and, at the same time, a Today show commentator. Over the next decade, Blumenthal worked at The New Republic, The Washington Post, and The New Yorker. At every stop he proved to be a ferocious partisan. He did not pretend to be a traditional journalist and had no qualms about assisting 1984 Democratic presidential candidate Gary Hart with his speeches even as he favorably covered the Hart campaign, a fact that came out only after he had gone to work for The Washington Post (and caused him to be moved from the national desk to the softer Style section).

Blumenthal could be an elegant and acidic writer, with considerable nerve. Typical was a 1990 New Republic review of Means of Ascent, the second volume of Robert Caro’s widely acclaimed Lyndon Johnson biography. Caro’s prodigious reporting blows most readers away. But Blumenthal did his own digging and undermined Caro’s portrait of Texas politician Coke Stevenson, whom Johnson defeated for the U.S. Senate in 1948. Blumenthal disclosed how, far from being a virtuous victim of Johnson’s skullduggery, as Caro largely would have it, Stevenson had a history of racism and was trailed by allegations that he took money in return for phony oil leases. In a subsequent exchange of views with Caro in The New York Times, Blumenthal characterized the book as a “romance” and provided a damning bill of particulars about Stevenson, writing, “In Mr. Caro’s book, however, all of this is completely absent.”

A number of colleagues viewed Blumenthal with unease. He cultivated an air of mystery, always intimating that he had inside information and special connections. His personal manner could be both charming and off-putting, with stage whispers, name-dropping, a raising of eyebrows, and a sudden cackling, as if he and his listener were in on some big joke. He could be funny, knowing, obsequious, and backhanded. But at the heart of the frictions with other reporters was the view that his writing was colored by favoritism. And the prime example was Bill Clinton.

IV.

Like others in the mid-to-late 1980s, Blumenthal believed that Clinton was a new sort of Democrat who would redefine the party and what liberalism could and should be. He first met the Clintons at a so-called Renaissance Weekend, in Hilton Head, South Carolina, at the end of 1987, and wrote of Bill, “He was a charismatic if loquacious speaker who had an easy facility with the arcana of public policy.” In The Clinton Wars, Blumenthal recalled that he and Clinton talked during their first encounter about how the news media were demolishing “the invisible barrier” between public and private life. Joseph Lelyveld, a former New York Times executive editor, in a review of The Clinton Wars in The New York Review of Books, noted that the topic was broached “presciently, even eerily.” Blumenthal backed his old friend, Mike Dukakis, in his race for the White House in 1988. But Dukakis was out of the picture after the loss to George H. W. Bush, and Blumenthal pivoted to Bill Clinton. In 1992 he made his feelings clear in a near-hagiographic article, “The Anointed,” published in The New Republic. “Clinton is about the renaissance of policy, informed by the Reagan years but moving clearly away from them,” he wrote, in the process casting several of Clinton’s Democratic rivals onto the ash heap of history. (Michael Dukakis was described as “a mere technocrat.”) Times had changed. He watched Clinton’s now mythic recovery from the disclosures about his relationship with Gennifer Flowers, writing about the Comeback Kid’s galvanizing mid-controversy appearance in New Hampshire in language that recalls John Updike writing about another Kid, Ted Williams: “But then, in Dover, in a bandbox of an Elks lodge, I watched Clinton lift himself back to political life . . . . His performance, upon which the fate of the entire campaign depended, was the most electrifying political moment I had witnessed since I was a boy in the Chicago Stadium.”

That fervor ultimately cost him his A-list Washington journalism career. He openly and frequently consulted the Clintons, notably Hillary, even while serving as the Washington correspondent for The New Yorker. He took a pass on seemingly obvious stories, notably the Whitewater real-estate controversy and one involving the White House travel office, while attacking the Clintons’ critics. History would prove his essential analyses correct—that the scandals, if any, were pretty low-grade, even if symptomatic of a propensity to cut corners—but he was supposed to be covering the Clintons, not rationalizing their conduct. And with the Clintons, where there’s smoke there tends to be at least a bit of fire. Then there were the allegations by Arkansas state troopers that they had arranged trysts for Clinton, including with a woman later identified as Paula Jones. Those came via an American Spectator article by David Brock, in his right-wing attack-dog days. But Blumenthal’s New Yorker reporting rarely mentioned Clinton’s extracurricular behavior.

Blumenthal derided the mainstream media for turning itself “into a yellow press, dealing in sexual innuendo and invading the privacy of politicians to try to get at it.” (Paula Jones’s sexual-harassment suit against Clinton was dismissed in court, then settled in 1998 during the appeals process for $850,000.) “In the tabloid haze,” Blumenthal wrote in The New Yorker, “public life evaporates.” In a 1994 column in The Washington Post, William Powers suggested that The New Yorker’s “Letter from Washington” should be renamed “In the Tank.” Tina Brown, The New Yorker’s editor at the time, eventually moved Blumenthal out of the job of principal Washington correspondent and replaced him with a reflexive Clinton critic, Michael Kelly, who insisted that Blumenthal, who remained on staff, not come into the magazine’s Washington office. In the meantime Blumenthal also wrote a play, This Town, ridiculing a White House press corps obsessed with a phony scandal about a president’s dog. (Frankly, the play wasn’t bad.) But his days as a working journalist were numbered. In 1997 he joined the White House formally as a special assistant to the president. The New Republic greeted the news by wondering if he would be collecting back pay from the Clintons for all his years as a solicitous journalist.

His role at the White House might be described as that of all-purpose kibitzer and dogsbody. William Daley, the son and brother of former Chicago mayors, served Clinton as a top arm-twister in passing the North American Free Trade Agreement and later as commerce secretary. He worked with or around Blumenthal for years. “He’s smart, interesting, funny, practical,” says Daley (whose own skills were described in a 1993 New Yorker piece by Blumenthal). “He walked between the intellectual and political words. He had impact since he had access, was a believer, and always had ideas. He might throw out 10, with eight mediocre, but a couple would be right on. He was a voracious defender. You need those people. Journalists don’t view him as a journalist but he crossed the line long ago and had the ability and access to effect things. And he had a disdain of media bias.”

Blumenthal discovered very quickly what it was like to become a target. In August of 1997, the Web-site operator Matt Drudge, in an e-mail newsletter sent to Drudge Report subscribers, claimed that Blumenthal had engaged in spousal abuse, giving no details; he posted the same claims on America Online, which was hosting the Drudge Report at the time. Drudge got a sharp letter from a Blumenthal lawyer the next day and very quickly retracted the story. He also publicly apologized to the Blumenthals. They sued for libel, slander, and invasion of privacy—asking for $30 million—with the case dragging on until a settlement in 2001. (The Blumenthals paid $2,500 to Drudge’s attorney to finally end the litigation.)

Blumenthal (top), President Bill Clinton (middle), and Monica Lewinsky (bottom) at their grand-jury depositions, videos of which were shown at a presentation of evidence during Clinton’s impeachment trial.
All images from APTN/A.P. Images.

As the Monica Lewinsky episode unfolded, followed by impeachment proceedings against Bill Clinton, Blumenthal found himself subpoenaed to testify before a grand jury empaneled by independent prosecutor Kenneth Starr, whom he would revile as “a prosecutor on a mad mission from God.” He was also compelled to testify during the Senate impeachment trial itself. At issue was whether he had ever served as a conduit for pejorative misinformation about Lewinsky, which the White House had allegedly sought to spread while keeping its own hands clean. Because Blumenthal had rarely displayed the “passion for anonymity” that Franklin D. Roosevelt prized in his staff, it was no surprise that suspicions about his role were rampant.

The episode led to the rancorous breakup of his friendship with the late Christopher Hitchens, the journalist and critic and longtime Vanity Fair columnist, and with Carol Blue, Hitchens’s wife. Both Hitchens and Blue maintained that Blumenthal had described Lewinsky as a “stalker” in their presence, which directly contradicted Blumenthal’s assertion that he had “no idea” how charges about Lewinsky came to be attributed to a White House source. Hitchens and Blue submitted signed affidavits attesting to their account of the conversation with Blumenthal. He denied the charge, but admitted in Senate testimony that the president had mentioned the word “stalker” in a conversation about Lewinsky. In one of his grand-jury appearances, Blumenthal also reported Hillary’s contention that her husband was being attacked for political motives because of his “ministry of a troubled person.” Asked during the impeachment hearing by Representative Lindsey Graham, now a South Carolina senator, whether he had knowledge of anyone in the White House waging a campaign against Lewinsky, Blumenthal said no. He also put out a statement: ”My wife and I are saddened that Christopher chose to end our long friendship in this meaningless way.” Whatever the specific pathways it may have employed, many observers were convinced that the White House disseminated the charge that Monica Lewinsky was a stalker—and it met with some success. Journalist Joe Conason notes that, at the time, you could find hundreds of mentions of the word “stalker” in press accounts of the scandal.

Lewinsky declined to speak about this episode, but she confirmed that in 2002 she sent a handwritten thank-you note to Hitchens after an HBO special about the whole affair.

Dear Mr. Hitchens: I’m not sure you’ve seen the HBO’s documentary I participated in. I wanted to thank you for being the only journalist to stand up against the Clinton spin machine (mainly Blumenthal) and reveal the genesis of the stalker story on television. Though I’m not sure people were ready to change their minds in ’99, I hope they heard you in the documentary. Your credibility superseded his denials.

Shortly before Hitchens’s death, in 2011, Blumenthal wrote to him: ”What a shame it has been that we have not been able to be friends as we were.” Hitchens was touched on a personal level and wrote back, but it did not alter his fundamental disagreements with Blumenthal.

V.

After Bill Clinton left office, Blumenthal published The Clinton Wars, and hopscotched back and forth between consulting and journalism, the latter including a stint as Washington bureau chief for Salon.com during the 2004 re-election campaign of President George W. Bush. Bush’s disputed Texas Air National Guard service was a special focus of Blumenthal’s attention. Blumenthal was also an executive producer of the documentary Taxi to the Dark Side, Alex Gibney’s 2007 Oscar-winning film about America’s use of torture and interrogation. (He is currently involved in two other films—a recently released documentary about pollution in Appalachia and a biopic about the Zionist Theodor Herzl.) When Hillary Clinton ran for president in 2008, Blumenthal was a consultant and a senior adviser to the campaign. According to Politico, in 2009 he became a paid consultant to the Clinton Foundation, for which he received about $10,000 a month. (He is no longer on its payroll.) And he was also a consultant to two pro-Clinton David Brock creations, American Bridge and Media Matters, for which, according to a Congressional source, he received about $200,000 a year. (This would be confirmed when Blumenthal’s redacted testimony was unredacted by the Los Angeles Times last June.) The Blumenthal-Clinton e-mails occasionally reference the two Brock groups, which are fully supportive of her 2016 run.

In his e-mails—any of which, from the perspective of mid-2016, seem to have a particularly short analytical shelf-life —Blumenthal takes few prisoners. Obama and Clinton forged a close working relationship long ago, but Blumenthal seems to have an unreconstructed view of the president. “Obama is now seen as a more political, contentious partisan figure. Your rating is much higher among Republicans than his. You’ve achieved supra-political status, not anti-political or apolitical (they know who you are),” he writes to Clinton in March 2009. Later that year, he forwards a Capitol News article via an e-mail with the subject line “In case you haven’t seen, but don’t give yourself a grade if asked.” The article notes a new poll indicating that Clinton “has a much higher approval rating than the man she once campaigned against and now works for, President Barack Obama.” He offers the opinion that Obama suffers from “the vulnerability of charisma”—a magnetism not fully supported by achievement. He is unrelenting. “H: Did you see this self-damaging NYT piece planted by WH in today’s paper? IMHO near insane. WH picking open fight with military over Afghan deployment.” Another: “No comment on the inability of the White House to execute political themes, tactics, and strategy; or sustain a campaign; or develop new ideas.” He sends along a 2010 Time article by Mark Halperin. While criticizing it as mostly “twaddle,” he tells her its essential assessment is completely accurate—namely, that “Barack Obama is being politically crushed in a vise. From above by elite opinion about his competence,” and from below by “mass anger and anxiety over unemployment.” Blumenthal sends a Huffington Post article headlined, “The Power of Clinton, the Invisibility of Obama,” referencing an appearance by Bill Clinton in Kentucky.

He forwards to her an article by Tom Ricks, the longtime military-affairs writer for The Washington Post, who now writes for Foreign Policy and is a senior advisor at the non-partisan New America Foundation. It raised questions about military policy in Afghanistan and referenced David Petraeus, the former C.I.A. director who was then the head of the U.S. Central Command, and National Security Staff Chief Denis McDonough. Blumenthal’s brief preamble: “A riposte from Tom Ricks, reliable mouthpiece of Petraeus et al., assailing Biden, surrogate for Obama, with a leak that Biden sleeps through briefings and an appeal to McDonough et al to shut up Biden (and by implication shut up the president).” Ricks hadn’t known of this shot at him until I sent it. “I don’t believe I have ever met him,” Ricks replied. “But everything I have ever heard about him indicates that he is a second-rate Washington weasel.” He added that Clinton had liked his critically praised book on the Iraq War, Fiasco, which, he said, she had “once cited to me by page number,” and added, “So I think she’d be a bit skeptical of Blumenthal’s conspiracist’s views.”

Conspicuously, Hillary Clinton doesn’t respond to most of the harsh critiques of individuals by Blumenthal. But she does seem to absorb a lot of what he writes. “I didn’t read the McD reference that way,” she replies when Blumenthal passes along an article he initially implies is harsh on Denis McDonough. “I actually thought it was complimentary of his spin skills.” She never takes up the cudgel when it comes to Obama-bashing, not even with a wink or a nod. She was the nation’s top diplomat for a reason.

VI.

Blumenthal hit the road on a book tour for A Self-Made Man as Hillary Clinton’s campaign for the White House—the nomination now secure —pivoted to the general election. In his public appearances, Blumenthal underscores how, as he puts it in his book, “the mythology of Lincoln as too noble for politics long obscured the reality of Lincoln. Lincoln above politics was not Lincoln.” The Lincoln of A Self-Made Man is not the saint taught to generations of schoolchildren. Nor is he somebody who shuns deal-making or the undermining of rivals and friends alike on his way to immortality. He is not afraid of getting his hands dirty. The author might as well be holding a mirror up to himself when he writes of Lincoln’s loyal operative, “No one knew better than Herndon that Lincoln was a politician; few had done more to advance him. That was at the heart of their secret sharing. Herndon was hardly coerced, but avid in his labors. He believed in all of it.” It’s a theme Blumenthal underscored in March as an on-air pundit for CNN’s “Race For the White House” mini-series, co-produced and narrated by Kevin Spacey.

Several Blumenthal friends avow that this Herndon with a smartphone won’t seek a formal position in a Hillary Clinton administration. (Blumenthal told the Guardian, “I haven’t given it much thought.”) Public life takes a toll; by his own account, Blumenthal spent about $300,000 on legal expenses related to Starr’s grand-jury subpoenas, the impeachment trial, the Drudge matter, and nuisance suits filed by the right-wing Judicial Watch. In the years ahead, friends say, Blumenthal is going to be consumed by the remaining Lincoln books. And this may all be true. It’s also true that there is no real need to seek a formal position. Blumenthal is already in the inner sanctum, as confounding as that may be to some Clinton acolytes. And there is no reason to believe that Clinton will start entertaining second thoughts now. “I have many, many old friends,” Hillary Clinton has said, “and I always think it’s important, when you get into politics, to have friends you had before you were in politics. I’m going to keep talking to my old friends, whoever they are.”

Is Amazon planning to open a bookstore in New York City?

Michael Schaub

Amazon is ready to take Manhattan – according to a report in the New York Post.

Amazon has largely been credited with a crisis in brick-and-mortar bookselling. The online retailer’s success – including its ability to undercut books’ traditional retail prices and its launch of the first popular e-reader, the Kindle – contributed in part to the demise of Border’s, the national bookstore chain that went bankrupt and closed in 2011. From its debut in 1994, Amazon has been seen as a digital player.

So the company raised eyebrows last year when it opened its first bookstore in Seattle. That was followed by a report that the online retailer was planning to open hundreds of bookstores in malls around the country, a story that was quickly denied and recanted.

The New York Post cites unnamed sources who claim the company will open a physical bookstore and cafe in Hudson Yards, a large real estate development on the far west Side of Manhattan.

If the report is accurate, Amazon Books will join department store Neiman Marcus and restaurants helmed by chefs Thomas Keller and José Andrés when the Hudson Yards retail space opens in 2018 or 2019.

The Post quoted one source as saying: “I don’t know if the final lease was signed yet, but I know the deal is happening. There’s no way that deal is dying.”

Although Amazon denied the report of it seeking to open hundreds of bookstores around the country, it has since announced plans for bookstores in San Diego and near Portland, Ore.

According to the New York Post, Amazon’s New York store would include a cafe, which might be a first for the company — the Seattle store doesn’t have one, and there’s no word on whether one will be part of its other planned stores.

Manhattan is home to many independent bookstores, including The Strand, McNally Jackson, Housing Works and Bluestockings.

Amazon did not respond to our request for comment.

The Clintons and the press are caught in a pointless, toxic cycle of scandal

Updated by on July 5, 2016, 4:30 p.m. ET

In retrospect, it seems almost too perfect that the most notable scandal of the Obama administration, the one that necessitated a public statement from the director of the FBI, was about Hillary Clinton rather than Barack Obama. Or maybe it was one of two somewhat notable scandals, along with Benghazi — another case where the scrutiny on Clinton was far greater than on the actual president.

It makes sense because the Clintons have, since even before Bill Clinton won the Democratic nomination in 1992, been magnets for scandal, many of them trumped-up nothings. When their close friend killed himself, they were accused of murder. When they lost money on a bad real estate deal that a friend who turned out to be a con artist suckered them into, it triggered a federal investigation, culminating in Clinton’s impeachment for completely unrelated conduct. When they tried to clean up a White House office that the FBI was investigating for financial improprieties, the independent counsel wound up looking into their actions. So of course when Clinton joined Obama’s administration, similar blow-ups would follow.

 But it also makes sense because Obama has been almost entirely immune to this kind of imbroglio. The 2008 presidential campaign made him defend his past contact with Weather Underground militant Bill Ayers, his ties to now-imprisoned Chicago developer Tony Rezko, and his attendance at Jeremiah Wright’s fiery, anti-American, conspiracy theory–touting sermons at Trinity Church. But none of those stuck. The Wright incident instead led to the best speech of Obama’s career, arguably helping him secure the Democratic nomination.

None of these scandals have carried into his administration at all. What few scandals there have been have either involved people far enough down the federal government org chart such that Obama was barely implicated (“Fast & Furious,” the IRS scandal, the VA scandal) or were so transparently ridiculous that they didn’t hurt Obama at all (the “birther” conspiracy theories being the canonical example).

So while Clinton faced the typical barrage of attacks while in the Obama administration, Obama himself is emerging from his eight years in office entirely untainted by scandal, to a degree matched by few presidents in history.

One way to read this is that Obama is unusually clean and the Clintons usually sketchy in their dealings. Another is that the Clintons were targets of an unusually intense smear campaign. The reality is a mix: The Clintons really were unfairly targeted in the early 1990s, but the experience has left them sufficiently jaded and paranoid that they think their own conduct is irrelevant to whether they’ll be targeted. That leads to carelessness, which in turn leads to more scandals, and on and on the cycle goes.

Why is Clinton so scandal-prone and Obama so scandal-proof?

Whitewater Clinton Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images
Clinton leaving the DC federal courthouse in January 1996, following four hours of testimony before a grand jury on her role in the Whitewater land deal.

There are two ways to interpret the discrepancy between the Clintons’ propensity for attracting scandals and Obama’s seeming immunity to them. One, which you’ll hear Clinton loyalists voice, is that there’s a double standard, that the Clintons get battered for offenses that would barely raise an eyebrow coming from any other politician, including Obama. On that interpretation, the email scandal was just another example of how the Clintons just can’t catch a break. Even when there’s a totally different Democrat in the White House, the guns are still trained on them.

 The other interpretation, which you’ll hear Obama loyalists voice, is that the Clintons provoke more scandals because they do more fishy stuff. “Fishy” here doesn’t mean “criminal” or even “unethical.” No one in the Obama camp, to my knowledge, actually thinks that Clinton used an offsite email service as part of some nefarious scheme to keep records from the public. But they do think it’s really dumb to do anything that might be misconstrued by congressional Republicans as malfeasance and spark an investigation, especially when that thing you’re doing is completely unnecessary.

“No Drama” Obama doesn’t do stuff like give paid speeches at Goldman Sachs or chat up the head of the Justice Department when his wife is being investigated or keep around personally loyal aides who nonetheless provoke unnecessary dust-ups (like Philippe Reines or Sidney Blumenthal). He doesn’t do it not because he thinks it’s wrong but because it’s imprudent; it gets in the way and makes it harder to get stuff done.

So while Obama loyalists absolutely do not think that Clinton should be indicted or that she did anything wrong regarding Benghazi, you will sometimes hear them lament that the Clintons sometimes bring this stuff on themselves.

The trouble with the Clinton loyalists’ theory is that it encourages a fatalism about the war on the Clintons that causes complacency, and spurs the Clintons to do stuff that really does bring more criticism and scrutiny upon them than they’d endure if they were as careful as Obama has been.

To hear the Clintons tell it, conservative anti-Clinton animus is a force of world-historical scale and gravity. In 2004, Bill Clinton gave a speech following a screening of The Hunting of the President, a pro-Clinton documentary adapted from the book of the same name (subtitle: “The Ten-Year Campaign to Destroy Bill and Hillary Clinton”).

Both the book and film contend that Hillary Clinton’s much-mocked assertion that there was a vast right-wing conspiracy out to get her and Bill was literally true; that there really was a concerted effort from funders like Richard Mellon Scaife, outlets like the American Spectator, congressional Republicans, and the independent counsel’s office to take down the Clintons on trumped-up, phony charges.

In his speech, Clinton explains his scandals as the inevitable consequence of anti-’60s backlash to social liberalism, and as a natural byproduct of the end of the Cold War. “When the Berlin Wall fell, the perpetual right in America, which always needs an enemy, didn’t have an enemy anymore,” Clinton argues. “So I had to serve as the next best thing. I think it’s really important that you understand that.”

If you believe you are being targeted with the same intensity as the Soviet Union, then the question of how you can change your behavior starts to feel like so much fiddling around the margins.

Reporters who’ve spent time with Hillary Clinton find that she’s absorbed this view, that she and Bill feel they can’t catch a break with the press, and so she isn’t too concerned about taking actions that could exacerbate the problem.

“It’s clear that even today she and her campaign feel that they can’t win with the press, that the story lines about her are already written,” Rebecca Traister wrote in a New York magazine profile of Hillary Clinton in May. “It’s a paranoiac cycle — Clinton and her team think that everyone is after her, and their behavior creates further incentive for everyone to come after her.”

The Clintons’ targeting really is unusual

Kenneth Starr 1996 Travis Heying/AFP/Getty Images
Independent Counsel Kenneth Starr, in 1996.

From the vantage point of 2016, the Clintons’ theory of their own persecution can seem self-pitying and almost pathologically distanced from their own actions. Even if you think the impeachment was an idiotic waste of the country’s time and resources, it remains the case that Bill Clinton never would’ve been impeached if he hadn’t slept with an intern and lied about it under oath. He didn’t have to do that.

The same, to a much lesser extent, with Hillary and the email server. The scandal is overblown, it’s true, but she still could’ve avoided all this hassle and drama if she’d just used her official email account for all State Department business.

But for the Clintons, everything from 1992 onward is part of the same ongoing saga, and it began way before they did anything particularly fishy at all. Bill slept with Gennifer Flowers? Not great, but a normal, survivable sex scandal. Whitewater? The Clintons did literally nothing wrong; it was all made up nonsense. Travelgate? Made-up nonsense. Vince Foster? Made-up nonsense. There was even a scandal about a haircut Bill Clinton got in 1993.

“You will never hear me criticize or complain about the press coverage I got in the aftermath of all the stuff that happened in ’98 with my deposition in the Jones case,” he says in the Hunting of the President speech, alluding to the Lewinsky scandal. “I’m talking about what happened before.”

And what happened before is tough to explain in terms of the Clintons’ actions. Obama’s relationship with Tony Rezko is more suspicious than the Clintons’ role in Whitewater, yet it did not result in any federal investigation of Obama. That’s a real discrepancy, one that has to be explained through historical context, through the unique status the Clintons have, and through the uniquely intense campaign to build up scandals relating to them. Bill Clinton is probably right that the Cold War made politics less issues-based, which, combined with the existence of the now-defunct independent counsel’s office, set the stage for a presidency constantly under investigation.

There’s also something to be said for the Clintons’ DGAF attitude toward their scandals. One of the major failures of the Obama presidency was its hypercautious approach to appointments, requiring intense vetting that left key administration and judicial positions unfilled for too long. That was a direct result of his administration’s caution when it came to potential scandals, a caution the Clintons are willing to throw to the wind.

The Clintons’ peculiar relationship with scandal did not begin with them being unusually sketchy characters. They weren’t; they had flaws, but Bill Clinton in 1993 was no dirtier than Barack Obama in 2009. He was painted as much dirtier, though, and he and Hillary responded by adopting an assumption that the press would target them no matter what, and so a self-destructive secrecy, self-righteousness, and fatalism took hold.

The result is a mutually reinforcing cycle, in which the particular historical circumstances of the 1990s created the image of the scandal-ridden Clintons, and the Clintons gave up on trying to erase that image, ensuring its perpetuation long after it should’ve faded away. Politics is not set up to create presidencies like Bill Clinton’s anymore, but the Clintons themselves are not set up to reap the benefits of that shift.

I work in room service at a 5-star hotel — these are the biggest things I wish guests wouldn’t do

Brittany Kriegstein

Jul. 1, 2016, 10:10 AM 3,689,060 110

 

I’ve been working in the room-service department of a five-star hotel for six months.

Actually, it’s a five-red-star hotel: The red part is a special distinction awarded by AA Hotel Services (an organization specific to the UK, which is where this hotel is located) that means we go above and beyond normal five-star hotel requirements.

Basically, it’s the fanciest kind of hotel you can possibly stay at.

Yes, we cater to well-known celebrities and high-profile guests. But the beauty of our service is that all guests are treated equally as nicely — whether we like you or not.

Saying that, your hotel experience will be much more enjoyable if we do like you. So here are some important do’s and don’ts for your next stay, from the girl who brings you breakfast and restocks your mini bar.
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DON’T: Order room service when you’re not fully (or even mostly) dressed.
Delivering breakfast to people who are half-dressed (or worse) is not really how I like to start my day. Apparently, lots of guests seem to be too hungry in the morning to abide by simple rules of common decency. Please, just put some clothes on before opening your door to room service.

DO: Make small talk with us when we bring up your meal.

Even though we’re required to follow a particular script when we come up to your room, we do still like to engage in a little small talk.

Comment on the weather, ask how our day is going, or tell us about your stay so far. This is a great way for us to assess how happy our guests are.

DON’T: Use anything from the mini bar if you don’t have to.
Although I’m sure my managers feel otherwise, I don’t like it when guests take items from their mini bars.

The mini bars in each room of our hotel contain over 20 different kinds of snacks and drinks, and I’m in charge of restocking them — meaning that I have to review a master list in every single one of our 144 rooms every day to figure out if anything’s missing.

Then, I have to bring the items to each room via a very badly designed, top-heavy cart, or, if it’s not on the cart, I have to run across the entire hotel to get it from the supply closet. This whole process can take over three hours.

Since my idea of fun isn’t exactly running (what feels like) a hundred miles to replace that one water bottle you felt like drinking, I would love it if you all just brought your own refreshments.

DO: Tell us if there is anything we can improve.

Some people are overly critical, but others are afraid to speak up if they aren’t satisfied. As long as you tell us nicely, we really do want to hear if there’s something we can do to make your stay more pleasant.

Tell us in person when we visit your room, leave a note, or talk to the front desk — these are the most efficient ways to make sure a wrong gets righted.
DON’T: Ask for anything (too) outrageous.
Since we’re a five-red-star hotel, we have to try our best to comply with any and all of your requests. We’ve orchestrated wedding proposals, served champagne on the beach, and hosted lavish surprise parties. Those things are doable for us, but scheduling a charter flight to Guam tomorrow is not.
DO: Say hello to us in the hallways.

It may seem obvious, but we hotel staff are real people too. Without our uniforms on, we’re no different than the other guests. Some of us even stay in the hotel sometimes. (We get a fabulous employee discount on rooms.)

So please, just treat us with respect — it makes the work environment so much more enjoyable.

DON’T: Get mad at us for visiting your room.

We have a strict protocol to follow, which involves visiting rooms several times a day to collect room-service items and restock the mini bar. If you don’t want to be interrupted, use your “Do Not Disturb” sign. We are not allowed to enter a room or even knock on the door when that sign is hanging, so you’re guaranteed peace and quiet.

DO: Put in your room service orders as far in advance as possible.

The worst thing for us is getting a last-minute call and scrambling around the hotel to get all of the dishes you requested. We don’t just have an endless supply of breakfast food cooking — chefs work in shifts, and it’s really hard to get a breakfast together if the breakfast chef has already left.

Someone once called in a full three-course breakfast at 12:05, just after breakfast had closed at 12. Being a five-red-star hotel, though, of course we had to try our best — which meant a bunch of cursing chefs and a lot of unnecessary stress for us room-service people.

So just try to let us know about your order in advance, and we’ll be sure to bring it to your room on time.
DON’T: Ask us about the celebrities in the hotel.
We’re not allowed to tell you who they are, what room they’re staying in, or if they’re even in the hotel at all. Because of super-strict confidentiality codes, we may not even know who’s in the hotel at any given time.

DO: Tell us about yourselves.
We work at five-star hotels because we love to delight our guests in fun and creative ways. If you tell us a bit about yourselves when you check in, or in passing throughout your stay, we can play to your likes and dislikes and make sure you have the best experience possible.

If you say that you like the flowers in our garden, we’ll bring you up a bouquet. If your kids don’t like waffles, we’ll come up with a cool breakfast alternative.

It’s those little things that can make a great hotel stay truly amazing.